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Money & mindset

Why employees may feel financial strain in the second half of the year

Inflation may be easing on paper, but people still don’t feel like prices are under control.

June 18  |  4 min read

New figures from the Bank of England’s Inflation Attitudes Survey show something many households are already sensing.

Inflation may be easing on paper, but people still don’t feel like prices are under control.

Households still expect prices to rise by around 3% to 4% over the next year, and many believe the cost of living is higher than official figures suggest.

That gap between what is happening in the economy and what people feel in their day-to-day lives is where financial pressure really builds.

For employees, that matters more than ever heading into the second half of the year.

Even when inflation is no longer at its peak, the pressure doesn’t disappear.

It just shifts shape.

Why financial pressure doesn’t ease evenly

One of the key issues highlighted by the survey is that people’s expectations of inflation remain stubbornly high.

Even when actual inflation falls, households often continue to feel like their money is being stretched further than it should be.

That perception drives behaviour.

If someone believes prices are still rising quickly, they are more likely to spend cautiously, avoid long-term planning and rely on credit to manage short-term gaps.

This is important because financial strain is not always about major shocks.

More often, it is the gradual pressure of everyday costs that builds over time.

For many employees, the second half of the year is when that pressure becomes more noticeable again.

The second half of the year is often the hardest

Household finances rarely move in a straight line.

Even when things feel more stable in the spring and early summer, pressure often returns later in the year.

By this point, many people are still recovering from earlier spending.

Winter energy bills, Christmas costs and higher prices at the start of the year can leave a long tail of financial strain.

By mid-year, budgets are often already tight.

At the same time, essential costs have not come down. Rent, mortgages, food and transport continue to take a large share of income, leaving little room for flexibility.

When there is no financial buffer in place, even predictable costs start to feel like setbacks.

Confidence is still the missing piece

The survey also shows that inflation expectations remain higher than the Bank of England’s target over the longer term.

In simple terms, people are not yet confident that price stability has fully returned.

That lack of confidence shapes how people manage their money.

When employees are unsure about what comes next, they tend to focus on short-term survival rather than longer-term planning.

Saving becomes harder to prioritise, even when people know it is important.

It is not always about income.

It is about headspace.

If someone is constantly trying to balance bills, credit repayments and rising costs, there is little capacity left to think about building savings or planning ahead.

What this means for employees at work

Financial pressure does not stay at home.

It follows people into the workplace.

Employees who are worried about money are more likely to feel distracted, stressed or overwhelmed.

That does not always show up directly in conversations with employers, but it can appear in productivity, engagement and even absence levels.

It also affects decision making.

People under financial pressure are more likely to delay financial choices, avoid switching products or rely on short-term borrowing to get through the month.

Even those who are managing day to day can be closer to financial vulnerability than they appear on the surface.

Why this matters for employers right now

For employers, the timing is important.

The second half of the year is often when financial pressure becomes more visible in the workforce, not because something new has gone wrong, but because earlier pressures start to catch up.

This is where financial wellbeing support becomes more than a “nice to have”.

It becomes part of how organisations help employees stay stable and productive through periods of sustained cost pressure.

In practice, the employers who tend to see the most impact are not necessarily those offering the most tools, but those helping employees build confidence in their day-to-day finances.

That might include clearer communication around pay and benefits, practical support with budgeting, or signposting to debt and savings guidance when it is needed.

Small interventions can make a difference, particularly for employees who are managing tight margins month to month.

The key point is that financial strain rarely starts as a crisis.

It builds quietly.

And without support, it tends to carry into the workplace.

The second half of the year matters

The second half of the year tends to concentrate financial pressure rather than ease it.

Summer spending, holidays, childcare costs and preparation for the school term all arrive within a relatively short period.

For households already stretched, that can quickly erode any remaining financial cushion.

If inflation expectations remain elevated and confidence stays fragile, employees are likely to feel that pressure more sharply as the year progresses.

This is where financial resilience becomes critical.

Without savings or financial breathing space, there is very little room to absorb even small financial shocks.

The bigger picture

The Bank of England’s data does not point to a sudden crisis.

Instead, it highlights something more gradual but just as important.

People are still not feeling financially secure.

Even when inflation improves in the official data, everyday confidence takes longer to recover.

That means employees can still feel under pressure long after the headline numbers have improved.

For employers, this is an important context to understand.

Financial strain is not just about pay levels or inflation rates. It is about whether employees feel in control of their money from one month to the next.

And right now, for many, that sense of control is still fragile.

Caroline Chell

Written by Caroline Chell

Head of Communications


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